You think women won't vote to keep reproductive health care?
If anything, the Presidency will be the hardest election this fall, since Biden needs to win by over seven million votes to overcome the electoral college and election tampering by Republicans.
Here's another special election that I'm finding encouraging in relation to polls:
"In yesterday’s special election to fill the NY-26 congressional seat (Buffalo), Democrat Tim Kennedy was projected by Cook Political Report to win by 9 points.
I checked Nevada’s polling on 538 as I was making my list, and it didn’t look close. But polling, I think, is unreliable these days, and the election is still many months away; so who knows?
I think you are right about Florida, with the new abortion law kicking in there.
Arizona’s flirtation with a bad abortion law, whatever the courts decide, should boost Dems too — and they’ve been winning lots of elections there for the past ten years.
A lot can happen before November, but I think the general trend is women will vote for having access to doctors who can save their lives. That’s what’s been happening more and more.
Fortunately Democrats not only support reproductive healthcare. They also support the fight against the climate crisis.
And on that note, we may see bolder action if the higher temperatures continue this summer and exact tragic tolls on the world. I hate to say that episodes like the one in the opening of Ministry for the Future may save us, but that’s what seems to drive irregular voters to pay attention and pitch in.
If you haven’t read it, I recommend just the first thirty pages.
And, ironically, I think we mostly need environmental law deregulation, so we can expand renewable energy faster.
We’re also going to need a lot more electricians ASAP. More high schools should be pushed to offer vocational electrical classes. It would be a win-win scenario, with working class teens being able to get good-paying jobs right out of school.
We should mandate landlords install 220V outlets in renter parking spots for EV charging — as well as replace gas appliances with electrics. And we should give them more generous tax breaks to do it, so there’s less push back and strife over it.
Public chargers are going to get overloaded like gas stations did in the 70s during the oil embargo. Poorer drivers will suffer, and the reputation of EVs will take another unnecessary hit, delaying their adoption.
I think Montana is very iffy -too many fanatics relocating to the state to be part of the American Redoubt-a haven for conservative "Christians" ...this state is stuffed with trump supporters.
There is an attempt to put an abortion rights amendment on the ballot, but I seriously doubt there is enough organization in the short time left to gather signatures that it will be on the ballot.
Dems aren't likely to hold the Senate..?
Arizona
Montana
Ohio
Wisconsin
You think women won't vote to keep reproductive health care?
If anything, the Presidency will be the hardest election this fall, since Biden needs to win by over seven million votes to overcome the electoral college and election tampering by Republicans.
Let’s hope. We’re working hard at Third Act. Add Nevada to your list. And I think Fla could be in play
Here's another special election that I'm finding encouraging in relation to polls:
"In yesterday’s special election to fill the NY-26 congressional seat (Buffalo), Democrat Tim Kennedy was projected by Cook Political Report to win by 9 points.
He actually won by 36 points."
https://www.threads.net/@marklevinenyc/post/C6buAC_uXxr
I love that you are in the fight.
I checked Nevada’s polling on 538 as I was making my list, and it didn’t look close. But polling, I think, is unreliable these days, and the election is still many months away; so who knows?
I think you are right about Florida, with the new abortion law kicking in there.
Arizona’s flirtation with a bad abortion law, whatever the courts decide, should boost Dems too — and they’ve been winning lots of elections there for the past ten years.
A lot can happen before November, but I think the general trend is women will vote for having access to doctors who can save their lives. That’s what’s been happening more and more.
Fortunately Democrats not only support reproductive healthcare. They also support the fight against the climate crisis.
And on that note, we may see bolder action if the higher temperatures continue this summer and exact tragic tolls on the world. I hate to say that episodes like the one in the opening of Ministry for the Future may save us, but that’s what seems to drive irregular voters to pay attention and pitch in.
If you haven’t read it, I recommend just the first thirty pages.
And, ironically, I think we mostly need environmental law deregulation, so we can expand renewable energy faster.
https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/progressives-need-to-embrace-progress?utm_medium=email
Red states have an easier time building it out at the moment.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/feb/26/red-states-lead-usa-renewable-energy-wind-solar-power
With transportation as our biggest source of pollution, it’s great news that EVs are rapidly becoming cheaper.
https://www.techradar.com/vehicle-tech/hybrid-electric-vehicles/byds-astoundingly-cheap-electric-car-sets-a-record-that-could-spark-a-new-price-war
We’re also going to need a lot more electricians ASAP. More high schools should be pushed to offer vocational electrical classes. It would be a win-win scenario, with working class teens being able to get good-paying jobs right out of school.
https://www.newyorker.com/news/dept-of-energy/the-great-electrician-shortage
We should mandate landlords install 220V outlets in renter parking spots for EV charging — as well as replace gas appliances with electrics. And we should give them more generous tax breaks to do it, so there’s less push back and strife over it.
Public chargers are going to get overloaded like gas stations did in the 70s during the oil embargo. Poorer drivers will suffer, and the reputation of EVs will take another unnecessary hit, delaying their adoption.
Lifelong Montanan here.
I think Montana is very iffy -too many fanatics relocating to the state to be part of the American Redoubt-a haven for conservative "Christians" ...this state is stuffed with trump supporters.
There is an attempt to put an abortion rights amendment on the ballot, but I seriously doubt there is enough organization in the short time left to gather signatures that it will be on the ballot.
That’s a shame. Seems like Jon Tester is a good representation of Montanan values.
Also interesting: for a while lots of Californians were moving there to Bozeman and Helena. Did that fad wane..?
COVID influx. It has slowed down.
Conservatives Californians appear to be moving here.
Housing costs are abysmal and ridiculously expensive now. The cost has doubled.